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#Gate股票观点挑战 + $UNITREE
Unitree began trading on the Shanghai STAR Market on August 19, 2026.
With an IPO price of 150.80 yuan, the stock surged approximately 629% at the opening on its first day and closed around 845 yuan, marking a gain of about 460%.
Consequently, the company's market capitalization reached approximately $50 billion.
Its 2025 revenue was reported at around 1.7 billion yuan (approximately $250 million), reflecting growth of over 40%.
In my view, Unitree has a compelling long-term story—particularly regarding its quadruped robots, humanoid robots, and the significant advantages it holds within China's robotics sector. However, the extraordinary surge on the first day of trading may reflect expectations and speculation rather than the company's fundamental value. A valuation of around $50 billion—as reported by Reuters—appears quite aggressive relative to the company's current business operations.
Therefore, while the outlook for the robotics sector is positive, the risk associated with Unitree stock at current levels seems very high. Sharp profit-taking and high volatility in the initial days would not be surprising.
Unitree Technology went public on August 19, 2026; therefore, there is not yet sufficient daily or weekly data for traditional technical analysis. In the first trading session, the stock rose from its IPO price of 150.80 yuan to a peak of 1,100 yuan before closing at 845 yuan.
Consequently, I am evaluating the levels below based on the first day's price structure, Fibonacci levels, and psychological thresholds.
Unitree – Critical Zones
Very strong resistance 1,050–1,100 First-day peak; area where profit-taking may intensify
Resistance 900–950 First significant target above 845
Pivot / decision zone 800–850 Crucial due to the initial close at 845
Support 700–750 First zone for a significant pullback or buying interest
Strong support 600–650 Around the 50% Fibonacci level + psychological support
Main bottom/buying zone 500–550 61.8% Fibonacci level
Very strong long-term support 350–400 Deep correction scenario
IPO reference 150.80 IPO price; historical reference point in the event of an extreme decline
Reaching 1,100 yuan and closing at 845 on the first day represents a pullback of approximately 23% from the peak to the close. This indicates significant profit-taking during the initial trading session.
My technical scenario
1. Sustaining levels above 845:
If the 845–850 zone holds and the stock breaks above 900 with high volume, the first target would be 950, followed by the 1,050–1,100 range.
2. Dropping below 800:
If the 845 level is lost, I would watch the 700–750 zone. This would be my primary area of interest for serious "buy-the-dip" opportunities.
3. If 700 is also broken:
In the event of continued panic selling, the 600–650 zone would become a much more attractive area in terms of risk-to-reward ratio.
4. 500–550:
A drop to this level would represent a significant correction relative to current pricing; however, from a technical standpoint, it could serve as a strong zone for a rebound, given that it aligns with the 61.8% Fibonacci level.
How would I structure my buying?
Instead of entering all at once:
700–750 → 25%
600–650 → 35%
500–550 → 40%
...a staggered approach would make more sense.
However, there is a crucial risk here: Unitree's market capitalization of approximately $50 billion at its first-day close implies an extremely aggressive valuation based on the company's projected 2025 revenue. Consequently, the equation "good company = good investment at the current price" may not hold true. My summary view:
900–1,100: sell/resistance zone
800–850: decision zone
700–750: initial buying zone
600–650: strong buying zone
500–550: aggressive long-term buying zone
We will be able to establish much more reliable support and resistance levels once we see the opening and the highs/lows of the first 30–60 minutes, particularly tomorrow (August 20). Due to the extraordinary movement on its first day, this stock is currently trading not like a typical stock, but rather with high volatility and price discovery dynamics.
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