#XLM Critical threshold held for XLM! Which levels stand out in a bullish scenario?

The $0.139 support level has emerged as a key point for XLM, and the technical structure at this level is being closely monitored.

If higher lows are maintained, the $0.681 level could come into play for XLM.

Real-world assets have surged from $760 million to $3.35 billion over the last five quarters, with the $XLM ecosystem standing out in this growth.

XLM is displaying a more balanced outlook following a correction period that lasted for months. Although the price remains significantly below previous peaks, technical indicators suggest that selling pressure is easing and buyers continue to defend key support zones.

Higher lows stand out in the technical outlook

For XLM to maintain its bullish trend, the pattern of higher lows must continue. If this structure holds, a strong breakout could occur, potentially driving the price up to $0.681. This level implies a potential gain of over 294% from current price zones.

A wave-like pattern, similar to those seen in previous cycles, is evident on the XLM/USDT monthly chart. Historically, prolonged periods of decline have been followed by accumulation phases and subsequent sharp rallies. In the current scenario, the "rounding bottom" structure formed after the 2025 peaks is interpreted as a sign that sellers are losing influence and buyers are gradually returning.

While the price remains below the downtrend line, a breakout above this line could open the way for a move toward the $0.68–$0.70 range. In the broader bullish scenario, the $1.20–$1.25 range is also being monitored as a target zone.
Support levels and wave analysis

It appears XLM may have reached the final stage of Sub-wave 2; if support holds, the Wave 3 phase could begin.

The $0.139 level stands out as the primary support in the analysis. Preventing the price from slipping below this level is considered critical for maintaining the bullish structure. Conversely, surpassing the $0.30 mark is being watched as a development that could confirm the likelihood of a stronger trend reversal.

Intermediate support zones are identified at the $0.204, $0.186, and $0.164 levels. While these areas are expected to attract new buying interest, a drop below $0.139 could weaken the bullish outlook.

On-chain data and ecosystem growth

The technical outlook is further supported by on-chain data. The number of daily active addresses on the network is hovering around 51,500. This figure indicates that, despite lackluster market performance, user activity has not ceased entirely and consistent interaction with the network continues.

Note the growth in the real-world assets (RWA) sector. The total value of assets on the network has surged from $760 million to $3.35 billion over the last five quarters. Tokenized treasury products, lending instruments, gold, and stablecoins are cited as key drivers of this increase.
Critical Technical Levels for XLM: Primary Support ($0.139): The boundary line that must absolutely be defended. This is the fundamental level that preserves the macro-scale bullish structure and must be held.

Intermediate Accumulation Zone ($0.164 – $0.204): A zone formed by secondary support points at $0.164, $0.186, and $0.204, where buyers are actively attempting to establish a "higher low" structure.

Trend Reversal Confirmation ($0.30): Reclaiming this critical ceiling level and holding above it would securely shift momentum from the accumulation phase to an active breakout process.

Macro Bullish Targets ($0.68 – $1.25):

If Wave 3 is triggered, the initial target range lies between $0.68 and $0.70 (indicating a rise of approximately 300% from the accumulation base); for a broader cyclical move, the $1.20 – $1.25 levels are targeted.

The technical "rounding bottom" formation is supported by strong fundamental utility.

The growth of Real-World Asset (RWA) volume from $760 million to $3.35 billion over five quarters demonstrates that the XLM ecosystem has secured significant institutional and tokenized asset volume, thereby providing a solid fundamental basis for the technical "higher low" structure.

‍$XLM