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I went out of my way to look at the actual figures in SK hynix’s latest earnings report.
At first glance, it really was a bit surprising: operating profit grew 557% year over year, and both revenue and profit hit all-time highs. In the past, such results would basically be welcomed by the market. But the outcome was that revenue and profit were both slightly below market expectations, and the stock price came under pressure for a time.
That said, what I care more about is the follow-up conference call.
Management said they have not seen any signs of AI investment slowing down. HBM4 has already begun mass production and shipment, and many long-term supply agreements have already been locked in for orders over the next few years. This indicates that the core demand for AI memory has not changed. What the market is worried about is more about near-term expectations rather than the industry’s fundamentals.
In fact, the entire AI hardware sector has been pretty interesting lately.
The market is no longer just asking whether companies are making money—it’s demanding that they earn even more than everyone expects. Record-breaking performance, if it doesn’t beat expectations, could also lead to a drop in the stock price. But as long as there’s no clear cooling in subsequent orders, customer demand, or capital expenditures, the industry logic is still intact.
So I think what this earnings report is really worth paying attention to isn’t the four words “below expectations,” but the fact that the AI industry chain has entered a new stage of high expectations, high valuations, and high volatility.
What will determine the outlook for the storage segment going forward still isn’t the numbers from a single quarter, but who can continue to win AI orders and continue to deliver growth. As long as AI compute capacity building is still progressing, the story for this track is likely not over yet. #SK海力士财报不佳盘后下跌 @Gate 广场