ETH worth $1,880—you’re cutting losses, while whales are devouring your bloody chips!

First, look at the surface: risk-off before the event, panic stampede.

Yesterday it was still trading in the 1,950-1,980 range—now it’s straight back down to 1,880 for you. In 24 hours it’s down nearly 4%. The whole network saw both long and short liquidations. Retail traders are panicking hard. Since rebounding from the June low at 1,550, it’s already up 25-30%. Now it’s pulling back into the 1,850-1,880 zone. RSI is just about 54, neutral; MACD on the short-term has started showing sell signals. Either hold 1,850 and push toward 2,000, or if it breaks down, it could test 1,800.

First thing: ETF net inflows have been positive for five weeks—what are you still afraid of?

In the past week, ETF net inflows totaled $104 million. BlackRock’s ETHA is the biggest buyer—on July 27 alone it added another 9.23 million in a single day. Cumulative net inflows are already over $11 billion, and AUM stands at 10.65B. Institutions have been sweeping the 1,880-1,970 range for weeks—you’re still trying to guess the top?

BitMine is even more ruthless—its holdings are directly at 5.79 million ETH, accounting for 4.8% of circulating supply. Most of it is used for staking.

Second thing: Is FOMC bullish or bearish? The answer is tomorrow night!

The Federal Reserve will release its interest rate decision; the current rate is 3.50%-3.75%. What does the market fear most? That Waller keeps saying “inflation is stubborn,” and considers raising rates.

Most of the hawkish commentary has already been priced in. If tonight turns out dovish (hold steady + weaken hints of rate hikes), ETH will launch straight toward 1,950-2,000. If it’s hawkish, then it will probe 1,820-1,850—this is classic event-driven price action.

Third thing: The Glamsterdam upgrade has been pushed to Q3—but this is the real bullish signal!

A lot of people see the words “pushed back” and panic. I’ll tell you the truth: the delay is to increase the gas limit to a higher level, enable proposer-builder separation, and make MEV more fair. In plain terms, they’re holding back the big move.

The Lido staking module migration is progressing—30% of the supply has already been staked and locked, greatly reducing liquid selling pressure. EIP-1559 is burning coins every day.

Long vs short—judge for yourself

One side is:

ETF net inflows for five straight weeks, institutions continuously buying

BitMine holds 5.79 million ETH (4.8% of circulating supply), and giant whales are collectively sweeping the 1,700-1,970 range

30% of supply staked and locked, liquidity is scarce

A 60% discount versus ATH, but fundamentals are stronger than in 2025

The other side is:

Tonight’s FOMC decision—if hawkish, a short-term sell-off

If technicals break below 1,900, short-term MACD sell signals appear

The 200-day moving average is overhead resistance (2,100-2,200)

High-rate macro environment suppresses risk assets

Key levels

Resistance: 1,900-1,920 → 1,950-1,960 → 2,000 (psychological level) → 2,100-2,200

Support: 1,850 (first lifeline) → 1,820-1,830 → 1,800 (hard floor)

For short-term traders:

Before FOMC, either clear out or keep an ultra-small position and wait. After the decision: dovish—go long directly, target 1,950-2,000; hawkish—pick it up at 1,820-1,850, stop loss at 1,780.

For swing traders:

In the 1,850-1,880 range, build long positions in batches, stop loss below 1,820, target 1,950-2,000. If it breaks above 2,000, look for 2,100-2,200. Continuous ETF inflows are the biggest conviction.

For long-term believers:

DCA blindly from 1,800-1,880 and hold for 1-2 years. Target 3,500-4,000 (rate-cut cycle + ongoing ETF net inflows + Glamsterdam landing). But remember—if 1,850 can’t be held, get out first; don’t fight it. If it comes back, then re-enter.

ETH right now is like Bitcoin in March 2020—

Pandemic crash, everyone panicking, miners shutting down—then a few months later it goes straight from 38,000 to 65,000. $BTC $ETH $SOL #夏日创作营 #长鑫今日上市成交901亿 #ETH重返1900美元