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Thursday Fed rate decision: ahead of BTC/ETH — Poetic Fragrance’s views
Ahead of the decision, the market is in a wait-and-see mood, volatility increases, the risk of needle-like spikes rises, and before the news lands, avoid going all-in for a bet.
Three scenario walkthroughs
【Bulls-leaning / dovish】 signals of easing
BTC holds above 64,000 and targets 64,500/65,300
ETH holds above 1,900 and looks toward 1,930/1,960
【Neutral expectations】 balanced wording
BTC maintains wide-range oscillation of 62,600-64,500
ETH range 1,840-1,930, churning back and forth
【Bears-leaning / hawkish】 tighter tone
BTC falls below 62,600 and tests 62,000
ETH loses 1,840 and looks toward 1,800
BTC
Resistance: 64,000, 64,500
Support: 63,000, 62,600
Recommendation: On a rebound to 63,700-64,000, set short positions; defend 64,500; target 63,000, and if broken, look to 62,600. If 62,600 holds, cautiously try a long with light position sizing.
ETH
BTC and ETH are highly correlated. After a spike to 1,982, it continues to fall, and the peak gradually moves lower.
Resistance: 1,900, 1,930
Support: 1,860, 1,840
Recommendation: On a rebound to 1,890-1,910, set short positions; defend 1,930; target 1,860, then continue lower toward 1,840. Only if 1,840 stabilizes should you try a long with light position sizing. $BTC $ETH