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Major signs of easing have come through the Strait of Hormuz: Oman has proposed a joint management plan for the strait to Iran, and the risk of extreme blockades has been sharply reduced.
The geopolitical panic premium that the market had previously priced in is starting to fade, with short-term bearish pressure on crude oil and safe-haven assets.
But it is essential to recognize that at this stage this is only a proposal for talks—no agreement has been finalized, and there are still uncertainties in the situation.
External news will only cause short-term sentiment swings; what truly determines the pace is still the trend shown by the market itself. Do not change your established positioning strategy blindly based on a single piece of news.
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