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$DEXE Experiences Historic Crash: From $49 to $1 in 11 Days ✨
The DeXe Protocol governance token, DEXE, has experienced one of its sharpest crashes in recent times.
🔹 The peak was reached on July 12th at $49.43, an all-time high.
🔹 It fell by 96.8% in 11 days, dropping to $1.56.
🔹 The sharpest movement was recorded on July 21st, from $46.93 to $5.65, a drop of approximately 88%.
What Triggered the Crash?
🔹 It is seen as the unwinding of excessive positions in an illiquid market, not due to an attack or protocol vulnerability.
🔹 On-chain data shows one of the largest exchange inflows of 2026, amounting to 261,000 tokens. Exchange inflows are generally interpreted as a signal of selling pressure.
🔹 An onchain analyst detected a transfer of 797,900 DEXE tokens, worth approximately $6.15 million. These transfers occurred in six transactions after July 13th.
🔹 The custodian service provider, MirrorX, allows for pre-chain settlement transactions, therefore the effective value at position opening is... Estimated to be around $39.44 million
🔹 Public connections are associated with Falcon Finance and market-making structures, but there is no definitive evidence that a specific structure caused the collapse. The analysis is based on on-chain data and publicly available clues. The involvement of the project team or other market makers is not ruled out.
Structural Fragility Supply Story
🔹 Approximately 96% of the supply is concentrated in 10 addresses, a large portion of which is locked in private wallets in DAO treasuries, bridges, and vesting contracts.
🔹 The estimated circulating supply is only between 3% and 5% of the total supply. This thin circulation leads to extreme price movements with every significant sell-off.
🔹 The pre-collapse rally was more position-driven than fundamental, with an increase of over 750% year-to-date and a short squeeze effect. Short liquidations at the peak accounted for 96% of all liquidations.
🔹 Futures trading volume reached up to ten times the spot volume. Derivative-focused pricing showed leveraged movement rather than organic buying.
To Watch Headlines
🔹 The 100-period moving average is a critical technical line between $19 and $20. A sustained break below this level could open the door to the $3 region. It's being compared to a Cronos-like fractal structure.
🔹 Stock market flows: Continued inflows signal additional selling pressure, while outflows are interpreted as a shift to individual holdings.
🔹 Open positions jumped to very high levels during the price crash. It appears that new leveraged positions were entered and not just liquidations occurred, increasing the likelihood of new volatile movements.
🔹 Team and treasury movements: The DeXe DAO treasury holds approximately 50% of the supply. Every governance vote or on-chain movement from locked contracts is followed as a significant event.
Despite the crash, DEXE remains up over 500% year-to-date. Early buyers are still in profit. The picture remains challenging for those who entered near the peak. The preservation of the 100-period moving average zone and whether the intense selling pressure signals its end will be decisive in terms of direction.
NFA ✔️ DYOR 🔎
#SummerCreationCamp #夏日创作营