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7.25–7.31 BTC/ETH long-term allocation strategy: Poem’s view
The uptrend on the bigger cycle remains intact; the current pullback is just a shakeout during the ongoing rise. Next week’s major “central bank” weekly rollout will amplify market volatility—don’t let short-term noise disrupt your rhythm. A pullback is a window to accumulate long-term in batches at lower prices; do not chase higher levels.
News logic
1. The Fed rate-cut expectations remain the core long-term main theme. Expectations for easier liquidity continue to support the market, and the underlying logic for bulls remains unchanged.
2. BTC institutions keep buying on dips. This round of pullback is a benign shakeout rather than a trend reversal; the value of long-term positioning remains the same.
3. Ethereum’s RWA ecosystem is steadily taking shape. Staking burn continues to shrink, fundamentals are solid, and there’s plenty of room for catch-up gains ahead.
Market interpretation
After spiking up, the pullback is a technical repair following the rise. Key weekly support holds firm, and bearish momentum keeps weakening. Short-term volatility is only for clearing out floating retail chips; every deeper dip is a high-quality opportunity for long-term allocation.
Long-term long position plan
BTC
Entry zone: 63000–63800
Defense: 61600
First target: 66800–67600
Long-term final target: 69500
ETH
Entry zone: 1820–1850
Defense: 1770
First target: 1900–1930
Long-term final target: 1980
Key points for executing positions
Build in batches again within the pullback allocation range; avoid going all-in at once. Hold your risk-control defense levels firmly, ignore minor intraday fluctuations, don’t frequently churn positions, and keep your long-term core holding steady while waiting for targets to be reached.
⚠️Next week’s Fed interest rate decision, PCE inflation data, and technology earnings reports will arrive in quick succession; volatility will increase. All positions must be strictly controlled for risk. $BTC $ETH