Daily Pre-Market Forecast｜2026.07.26 16:39

Yesterday’s review: Yesterday’s BTC defense around 63,700 played out. After the price dipped to a low of 63,807, it returned above 64,000, but it still hasn’t firmly established itself above 65,000. The repair conditions are only partially met; ETH held around 1,845, hit a low of 1,852, then returned to around the 1,880 area. The stop-loss/decline-stabilization judgment was confirmed, but 1,910 has not yet been recovered. Altcoins lacked coordinated breakout with BTC and ETH, so overall the market stayed mainly in local rotation and defense. Yesterday’s strategy of not chasing highs and waiting for confirmation was also reflected today.
As of 16:40 Beijing time, today’s overall judgment: BTC current price is about $64,397, up 0.67% over 24 hours, with the range 63,807~64,596; ETH current price is about $1,881, up 1.39% over 24 hours, with the range 1,852~1,889. Both have seen repairs in the 1-hour structure; ETH is slightly stronger short-term. However, BTC on the 4-hour chart is still below the key moving averages, and the market has not yet formed a trend breakout.
Today’s approach: treat this as repair within weak consolidation. Altcoins can watch for local rotation, but overall it’s still better not to chase; wait for the broader market to break out and confirm.

BTC
BTC current price is about $64,397. On the 1-hour timeframe, it has reclaimed the EMA20 around 64,379, the 20-hour moving average around 64,375, and the 50-hour moving average around 64,328. The MACD histogram is slightly positive, indicating effective support and absorption around 63,800, but volume is still insufficient. On the 4-hour timeframe, it remains below the EMA20 around 64,631, the 20-period moving average around 64,640, and the 50-period moving average around 65,036. The MACD is still below the zero axis, meaning the bounce hasn’t yet reversed the mid-cycle pressure.
On the daily chart, it is slightly above the EMA20 around 64,330 and the 20-day moving average around 64,302, and above the 50-day moving average around 63,298. The daily “base” is still intact, while the weekly chart remains in consolidation.
Short-term support: 64,000~64,200; strong support: 63,700~63,800. Short-term resistance: 64,600~65,000; strong resistance: 65,400~65,800.
Today’s key inflection point is 64,000: if it holds and stands above 65,000 with increased volume, repair has a chance to extend to 65,400~65,800. If it falls back below 64,000 and loses 63,700 again, be cautious about a retest near 63,200.
In terms of trading: don’t chase the upper end of the range; prioritize waiting for a pullback confirmation after a breakout.

ETH
ETH current price is about $1,881. On the 1-hour timeframe, it is above the EMA20 around 1,877, the 20-hour moving average around 1,877, and the 50-hour moving average around 1,870. The MACD remains slightly positive, and short-term support/hold strength is stronger than BTC.
On the 4-hour timeframe, it is near the EMA20 around 1,880 and above the 20-period moving average around 1,879, but still below the 50-period moving average around 1,889. Although the MACD has improved, the structure is still consolidation-repair.
On the daily chart, it is above the EMA20 around 1,847, the 20-day moving average around 1,847, and the 50-day moving average around 1,749. The daily repair foundation has not been damaged, but the weekly chart hasn’t turned bullish yet.
Short-term support: 1,865~1,875; strong support: 1,845~1,855. Short-term resistance: 1,889~1,910; strong resistance: 1,930~1,960.
Today’s key inflection point is 1,865: if it holds and stands above 1,910, repair may extend toward 1,930~1,960. If it breaks below 1,865, be cautious about another test of 1,845~1,855.
In terms of trading: wait for confirmation of the 1,910 breakout; don’t treat a short-term spike as a trend reversal.

Altcoin linkage view today: If BTC holds 64,000 and ETH holds 1,865, altcoins will have room for local repair. If BTC stands firm above 65,000 and ETH simultaneously breaks above 1,910, the rotation range may expand.
If BTC breaks below 63,700, altcoins should prioritize reducing positions for defense. If ETH becomes weaker than BTC again, the rebound room for high-volatility coins is usually under pressure.
Overall, it’s better to choose selective observation rather than treat this as a broad market “all up” move.

Public-version trading principles:
Don’t chase; wait for confirmation of key support. Reduce positions defensively if key inflection levels break. After reclaiming key resistance and getting volume confirmation, then look for repair to continue.
During a consolidation phase, reduce frequent trial-and-error; complete observation requires tracking pool levels and single-coin strategies. Follow the quick reports or group documents for specifics.

Risk warning: The above content is only for scenario analysis of market conditions and does not constitute investment advice. Digital assets have extremely high volatility—pay attention to position sizing and stop-losses.
Market status as of 16:40 Beijing time on July 26, 2026; prices may change afterward.