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🔥“China’s strong man” kept bombing for 13 nights in a row; last night it finally quieted down! Has big BTC really held steady this time?
The U.S. military carried out airstrikes on Iran for 13 consecutive nights; last night marked the first night with no airstrikes. Iran fought back to the end—drones turned around and blew up a U.S. ammunition depot, and it also issued tough words. But the question is: how long can this kind of calm last?
📊With things quieting down, first look at how assets are moving:
$BTC
After Trump nodded and approved the ethics provisions, Bitcoin once briefly pushed toward 67k, and now it has fallen back to around 64k. Even with the back-to-back airstrikes, it didn’t break through 63k, suggesting the market is increasingly treating BTC as an independent asset.
For a short-term pullback, watch around 63,900; there’s pressure above 64,200. For long-term holders: geopolitical risk hasn’t been resolved, so don’t go too heavy on position sizing.
$ETH
——More volatile than BTC. RSI at 66.7 is nearing overbought, and the upper Bollinger Band at 1,867 is right overhead. Chasing at this level isn’t great value in the short term; watch for a pullback near 1,850 and then reassess. For the long term, wait for pullbacks and scale in in batches.
$BZ
Earlier in the fighting, it surged above 93. Last night, the premium got squeezed out. RSI is only 20! Extremely oversold. If you want to bet on a rebound, you can keep an eye with a small position, but with geopolitics—who can say for sure?
🧠Next, watch three things:
1. Will the U.S. military keep fighting? If they truly restart, oil prices and inflation expectations will rise again, putting pressure on risk assets.
2. The probability of the “CLEAR Act” passing has risen to 60%, and the August vote is imminent. If it passes, it will be a long-term positive.
3. Waller’s stance: the Fed’s new chair has clearly said “no bailout for crypto”!
📌Summary: One night without airstrikes is just the market catching its breath. In the short term, you can grab opportunities, but position management is always #1.
💬Do you think it will start up again this week? Chat your take in the comments!