7.26 Morning BTC/ETH 4-hour Chart Analysis + Trade Setup

The 4-hour market has continuously closed with small bullish candles. After the prior local low, the price has started a step-like, modest rebound, which falls under a consolidation-and-repair phase following a big drop. The Bollinger Bands are still opening downward; the Bollinger midline continues to move lower, and there is strong resistance above. This rebound is only a technical pullback after the selloff and has not fully reversed the broader bearish trend.

Stage high: BTC 66284.1, ETH 1940.66
Stage low: BTC 63666.0, ETH 1846.17

Long/short practical layout plan

Core idea: In a high-level, narrow-range consolidation as a continuation, do not chase orders in a ranging market. As long as the midline support holds, maintain a slightly bullish stance during consolidation; if the 4-hour candle body breaks below the midline, the room for adjustment opens up; if there is an effective breakout above the upper band, then restart the long-side upward move.

BTC trade plan

✅ Long positions

1. Conservative long: 65540-65590 (buy on dip at the Bollinger midline support)
Stop loss: 65170, Targets: 66300 →66950

2. Alternative long: near 64100 (place at the Bollinger lower band)
Stop loss: 63680, Target: 65550

⚠️ Short positions

1. Short for quick scalp: test short lightly in the 66900~67020 resistance zone
Stop loss: 67090, Take profit: 66200→65600

2. Breakdown short: after the 4-hour candle body breaks below 65560, wait for a rebound to 65800 and follow with a short
Target: 64700→64100

ETH trade plan

✅ Long positions

1. Conservative long: 1906-1910 (buy on dip at the Bollinger midline support)
Stop loss: 1886, Targets: 1948 →1958

2. Alternative long: around 1855 (place at the Bollinger lower band)
Stop loss: 1830, Target: 1908

⚠️ Short positions

1. Short for quick scalp: test short lightly in the rebound 1955~1961 resistance zone
Stop loss: 1968, Take profit: 1930→1910

2. Breakdown short: after the 4-hour candle body breaks below 1908, wait for a rebound to 1922 and follow with a short
Target: 1880→1855

Important risk-control rules

1. Current volatility continues to narrow; most likely, a directional breakout is brewing. Consolidation and cleansing will increase. Reduce position sizes for all orders, strictly use stop-loss orders, and forbid holding positions against losses.

2. If the 4-hour candle body holds above the Bollinger upper band, exit all short positions and follow the trend to chase longs.

3. If the 4-hour candle body breaks below the Bollinger midline, pause low-level long setups and switch to rebound-based shorting as the main strategy.