7.26 Morning BTC/ETH 4-hour chart analysis + trading layout

The 4-hour candles have continuously formed small bullish lines. After the prior low point, the price has started a step-like small rebound, which is a consolidation and repair move after a big drop.
The Bollinger Bands remain opening downward; the Bollinger midline keeps moving lower. There is strong resistance overhead. This rebound is only a technical counter-bounce after the selloff and has not fully reversed the bearish trend.
Stage high points: BTC 66284.1, ETH 1940.66
Stage low points: BTC 63666.0, ETH 1846.17

Long/short practical layout plan

Core idea: During narrow-range consolidation at high levels, do not chase entries in a ranging market. Keep the midline support intact to maintain a slightly bullish bias; if the 4-hour body breaks below the midline, the downside adjustment space opens up; if there is a valid breakout above the upper band, then restart the long-side upward move.

BTC trading plan

✅ Long positions

1. Conservative long: 65540-65590, buy the dip at the Bollinger midline support
Stop loss 65170, targets 66300 →66950

2. Alternative long: place near 64100 at the Bollinger lower band, stop loss 63680, target 65550

⚠️ Short positions

1. Short-term试空: lightly short within the resistance area on the rebound 66900~67020
Stop loss 67090, take profit 66200→65600

2. Breakdown short: after the 4-hour body breaks below 65560, follow with a short on the rebound 65800, targets 64700→64100

ETH trading plan

✅ Long positions

1. Conservative long: 1906-1910, buy the dip at the Bollinger midline support
Stop loss 1886, target 1948 →1958

2. Alternative long: place near 1855 at the Bollinger lower band, stop loss 1830, target 1908

⚠️ Short positions

1. Short-term试空: lightly short within the resistance area on the rebound 1955~1961
Stop loss 1968, take profit 1930→1910

2. Breakdown short: after the 4-hour body breaks below 1908, follow with a short on the rebound 1922, targets 1880→1855

Key risk control rules

1. Current volatility continues to narrow; a directional breakout is likely brewing. More range-clearing moves are expected. Reduce position sizes for all orders, strictly use stop losses, and prohibit holding through losses.

2. If the 4-hour K-line body holds above the Bollinger upper band, exit all short orders and follow the trend to chase longs.

3. If the 4-hour K-line body falls below the Bollinger midline, pause low-level long setups, and switch to a rebound-focused strategy of mainly shorting.