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The know-it-all’s fox tail is showing—if there’s a rebound, just keep shorting! 7.26 BTC/ETH outlook
When the know-it-all talked about Iran, he said that if we can’t get from Iran the 100% we want, we will absolutely consider restoring full-scale war. When asked what he wanted to say to Europe’s allies, the know-it-all said they’re lucky to have a friend like me. The US has never been explicit about the purpose of attacking Iran, and this time also counts as an indirect admission. It’s clearly about wanting control of the Strait of Hormuz.
This week’s firm bearish view matched expectations. Although at first Iran was tough, and it couldn’t hold in a high-range consolidation and broke to recent highs, there’s no reason to go long—so the short setup was validated. BTC shorts could take down more than 2,000 points, close to 3,000; ETH could take down close to 100 points. Next week, keep looking bearish—any rebound will be a great time to short!
7.26 short setup:
For BTC, on a rebound 65,000-65,500, keep short. For more steady traders, short 66,000-66,500. Place defense around 67,500. Targets: around 64,000-63,500-63,000. If it breaks down, look at 62,500-62,000. Continue moving stop-loss and take profit as needed!
For ETH, on a rebound 1,880-1,900, keep short. For more steady traders, enter 1,930-1,960. Place defense around 1,990. Targets: around 1,840-1,800. If it breaks down, look at 1,750-1,720. Continue moving stop-loss and take profit as needed!
7.25 midnight long setup:
For BTC, buy the pullback at 61,500-62,000. Defense around 60,500. Targets: around 63,000-63,500-64,000. If it breaks down, look at 64,500-65,000.
For ETH, buy the pullback at 1,700-1,730. Defense around 1,640. Targets: around 1,750-1,780-1,800. If it breaks down, look at 1,830-1,850.
BTC’s triple-session decline followed by a green candle this morning matches the weekend “reverse correction” indicator. Currently BTC has small resistance in the 648-65 range. After a breakout, it’s expected to rebound slightly again. The price has already broken above the 20-day moving average. In a weak market, it will likely go on to make new lows, so if you didn’t get in, wait for the right time to get in and set a position. If you’re already in, slowly move your stop-loss to lock in gains. #夏日创作营