7.25–7.31 BTC/ETH long-term positioning ideas — Shiyuan’s view

The pullback and consolidation of the larger cycle correction is nearing its end. The macro liquidity expectations continue to exist as support. This week’s range-bound chop and washout is digesting short-term sell pressure. Next week, any pullback opportunity will be a window for long-term, staged dip-buying. Stay committed to buying on dips for long-term positions. Strictly prohibit chasing at high levels. Don’t let short-term back-and-forth volatility disrupt your long-term rhythm.

Message breakdown
1. The Fed rate-cut expectations still remain the main storyline for the medium and long term. Continued expectations of loose dollar liquidity keep providing funding support to the crypto market. The underlying bullish logic in the broader environment has not reversed.
2. BTC institutions continue to accumulate on dips. The short-term pullback after the earlier rally is a healthy washout, not a trend reversal. The value of medium- to long-term holdings remains unchanged.
3. The Ethereum RWA ecosystem continues to advance. Token burning and staking mechanisms continue to reduce circulating supply. The fundamentals have long-term value, with potential for a catch-up rally afterward.

Market recap
After this round of pushing higher, it entered a range-bound pullback. This is a technical repair after the rally. The weekly key support zone remains solid. Bear momentum is gradually being consumed. In the short term, the range-bound consolidation is mainly the big players cleaning up floating positions. The larger uptrend for long-term upside has not changed. Every deeper retracement is a good opportunity for long-term setup.

Long-term long position plan
BTC
Entry range: 63,000–63,800
Risk control/defense level: 61,600
First-stage targets: 66,800–67,600
Ultimate long-term target: 69,500

ETH
Entry range: 1,820–1,850
Risk control/defense level: 1,770
First-stage targets: 1,900–1,930
Ultimate long-term target: 1,980

Position execution approach
Wait for the pullback into the setup zone and build positions in batches. Don’t enter with full size all at once. Rigorously hold the defense levels. Short-term market chop does not require frequent trading. Keep your patience and hold the long-term core position. Ignore minor intraday fluctuations and firmly wait for the stage-by-stage targets to be achieved.
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