July 25 BTC/ETH Mi God Trading Strategy

I’ve been on business for the past two days, and the Middle East situation is still in a stalemate: the US has carried out 13 consecutive nights of strikes on Iran. “The Don” is discussing plans to expand actions, while also saying, “The Iran negotiations are more serious now; there’s no rush to reach an agreement.” Shipping data is also diverging—transit volume through the Strait of Hormuz has plunged 60%, while traffic through the Strait of Mandeb has actually rebounded. The risk hasn’t disappeared; it’s just being rerouted. Last night, US stocks moved mixed: the Dow rose 0.46%, the Nasdaq fell 0.64%, and storage chip stocks all weakened (SanDisk down more than 10%, SK Hynix down 8.81%). But on the same day, Nvidia announced a $500 billion AI collaboration with SK Group. The long-term logic hasn’t changed—it's just that the stock price dropped first as a formality. In crypto markets, BlackRock’s Bitcoin ETF has deposited more than $200 million worth of BTC into Coinbase Prime, with no sign of institutional capital turning around.

BTC: Looking back at this round’s BTC trend, after completing the three major ranges, there has been a pullback to find support. It has already returned to the upper boundary of the first range. After all, if the first range is completely swallowed, then the “topside” efforts would be wasted. But rebounds have never been “stop falling without fixing”—otherwise any platform can be misleading. If BTC can temporarily stop falling within the first range, the next question is whether it can repair the midline of the second range around 64,600. Only when it reaches there will we know how solid the stop-fall really is. Since the 1-hour level price swing amplitude is quite narrow, we can’t tell the strength of the “heavier move” yet. For now, I still look for the “heavier move” to continue. The recommendation is to add short positions around 64,550. Use the 65,000 round-number level as defense, betting on the continuation of the “heavier move” trend. If adding longs/shorts on the “heavier move” is the plan, wait for right-side signals before entering. Recently, the value of trial-and-error against the market has not been high. The gap area below, 60,800–61,800, can be watched—if it reaches there, pay attention. (See the chart for details.)

ETH: The 1,825–1,855 area below is an important watershed support platform—equivalent to the first range for BTC. Same logic as the BTC trend: just stopping the fall isn’t enough; it needs a repair. The narrow pressure zone above 1,880–1,890 is a resistance area. If the night session goes there, you can still add shorts. Defend at 1,910. There are multiple support “boxes” below—wait for right-side signals before adding shorts (“repair”). Or apply the box theory: add shorts near the midline, defend at the lower rail, and trying a few times is also a good strategy. (See the chart for details.)