When the screen is full of green lights, people are most likely to rush to throw all their position in at once, but what I care about more is: did this leg of the downturn leave any signs in advance? A few nights ago, during the evening session, the market kept oscillating—each time $PENGU surged, it fell short by just one breath. As soon as it approached the key level, it was repeatedly driven back, and buy-side follow-through was clearly not keeping up.

So around 0.008192, I chose to open a long—not because I’m afraid of upside, but because the rebound has consistently lacked volume. With relatively low trading volume, once the shorts start pressing, it’s easy to lose the critical level. Right now, 0.006272 has already fallen to a lower spot, and the return is +1663.02%—the price action has finally confirmed the call.

First, close out the +1663.02%—put the profit in your pocket first. The remaining 20% continues to be held, with the stop moved up to around the cost basis. If it keeps selling off further, let the profit run; if it rebounds, I won’t give back the portion I already took.

Risk management done upfront is called rational; cutting again after you lose is called “a warrior’s severing of the arm.” This isn’t the time to chase a drop. Wait for a new structure to form—there are still opportunities, don’t rush.

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