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Guotai Haitong Chief Strategist Yi: China’s stock market has entered the hitting zone again; the market stabilizing and a turnaround is not far off.

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Caitong Haitong’s chief strategist analyst Fang Yi said that China’s stock market has once again entered the “strike zone,” and that market stabilization and a turn for the better are not far off. First, uncertainty is easing: risk appetite has steadied, and the impact of major super-IPOs’ trading is set to take effect; the marginal effect of the Iran–U.S. conflict is no longer as strong as it was in March–April; and North American CSP manufacturers’ earnings expectations have already been brought forward and lowered. Second, contagion risks are being contained to drive incremental capital into the market: an objective negative liquidity feedback has emerged; major stabilizing institutions have stepped in with market participation; this week’s inflows into broad-based ETFs reached 200 billion, the highest in a single week; active ETFs and discretionary funds are accelerating approvals; and private fund filings have been kept at a high intensity. Third, after trading risks are released, the growth rationale remains solid: after technology stocks surged from April to June, investors took profits in July, and adjustments in the STAR Market and ChiNext have come down by nearly 20%, with the magnitude already having been relatively sufficient. (Caixin)
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