July 22, 2026 (Wednesday) BTC Futures Contract Live Trading Execution Strategy

I. Qualitative Market Structure

The daily chart has formed a repair upward long structure: the Bollinger Bands open upward, and the lows keep rising. This round of rally is driven jointly by continuous net inflows from spot ETFs and a short squeeze. In the short term, this is clearly a trend-following long market. The daily RSI is approaching overbought; the outlook is mainly to pull back to build strength and then push higher. Do not go short against the trend with heavy positions and long-term holding. Short positions are only for short-term hedging of small pullbacks.

Intraday complete trading range: 65480 ~ 68030
Trading priority: trend-following pullback low-buy ＞ breakout chasing longs ＞ short-term lightly-positioned trial shorts

II. Layered Precision Key Levels

Resistance levels (from top to bottom)

1. First major short-term pressure: 67290 (a previously dense liquidity/turning zone)

2. Swing core pivot: 68030 (the prior high of this repair move, deciding whether the upward continuation holds)

3. Medium-term trend strong pressure: 70000 (the psychological round-number level)

Support levels (from near to far)

1. Intraday short-term strength “life line”: 65480 (supported by dense 1-hour moving averages)

2. 4-hour upward central structure support: 64410 (the defense level for the intact upward trend)

3. The end-of-trend level of this repair move: 63670

III. Three Standardized Entry Playbooks

Plan 1: Mainline trend-following pullback low-buy (highest priority)

Entry zone: 65480~65700 (pullback stabilization zone). After a 1-hour close confirms the end of the down move with a stop-falling bullish candle, build the position in batches.
Fixed stop-loss: 65100 (placed outside structure support to avoid short-term wick sweeps)

Batch take-profit points
TP1: 67290, reduce 50% of the core position; simultaneously move the stop-loss up to the entry cost price for breakeven.
TP2: 68030, exit the remaining position entirely.

Add-on rule: If price holds above 67300 and then slightly pulls back to 67000, you may add in the same quantity following the trend; the stop-loss is standardized to 66600.

Plan 2: Supporting resistance—short-term trial short (only short-term to bet on pullbacks; strictly control position size)

Entry zone: 67200~67290 (resistance stalling zone). If a long upper wick and a shrinking-volume turning signal appear, take a small position for the short.
Fixed stop-loss: 67550 (if it breaks above pressure, the short logic fails)

Batch take-profit points
TP1: 66200, cut half the position.
TP2: 65500, close all at the support level and exit.

Hard constraint: shorts are limited to intraday short-term positions only. Once reaching 65480 support, regardless of profit or loss, close everything—never hold an overnight short.

Plan 3: Breakout with volume—trend-following follow-through

Valid upside breakout
1-hour volume/real-body holds above 67300 (if成交量 reaches at least 1.8 times the intraday average; wick piercing above does not count as a valid breakout). Cancel the short-term short idea and follow the trend to chase longs.
Targets: 68030 → 70000.
Protective stop-loss: 66900.

Valid downside breakdown
Continuous bearish candle real bodies break through 65450: the short-term long buildup structure is damaged. Then short following the trend.
Targets: 64410 central support.
Protective stop-loss: 65850.

IV. Hard Leverage & Position Risk-Control Rules (Ironclad)

1. Leverage settings: pullback low-buy segment leverage fixed at 5x; breakout trend-following chasing longs max at 8x; short positions unify at 3x.

2. Position sizing ratio: during the consolidation/build-up phase, total position size upper limit is 30%; after a one-direction volume surge breakout, total position size upper limit is 50%.

3. Single-trade risk control red line: loss on any single trade must be strictly kept within 1% of total account funds; throughout the process, never add to a losing position to “hold through” (扛单).

4. Never trade in vague zones: in the box middle area 65800~67000, if there is no clear turning point, do not open positions; reduce invalid churn that wastes fees.

5. Margin mode unified use: always use isolated margin (逐仓) to isolate single-position risk, avoiding a single losing trade from dragging down the entire account principal.

V. Intraday Dynamic Response Playbooks

1. Morning narrow-range consolidation: observe and wait for pullback to the 65500 support zone; do not chase highs in the sideways price action.

2. Afternoon volatility expansion: closely watch trading volume. If there is volume-led advance to 67290, execute the breakout-long first; if there is no volume and pressure holds, execute a short with a light position.

3. Evening funding settlement period: volatility increases; reduce overall position size by half. Take-profit in batches faster and shorten the holding cycle.
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