Wu Says he learned that US asset management firm VanEck released a report stating that BTC is currently about $63,700, down roughly 33% from its six-month high, and the derivatives market remains cautious. In the 1-month options market, the implied volatility skew of put/call options rose to 11.4 percentage points, and the near-30-day annualized funding rate for perpetual contracts is about 4.5%. Historically, this range typically corresponds to future 30 to 180 days returns below the average level. In the same period, miners’ average daily revenue fell year over year by 39.5% to about $28.5 million, and revenue per unit of hashpower dropped to about $30.6 per PH/s per day, approaching multi-year lows. BTC that has not moved for more than a year accounts for 60.8% of circulating supply, and the long-term supply structure remains relatively stable.

BTC1.76%
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North_South
· 9h ago
At the 63K level, the long vs. short battle is quite intense. The options skew being that large suggests everyone is buying insurance. Should you bottom-fish or wait a bit longer?
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HotColdSplitter
· 10h ago
Miners’ revenue has dropped so much that small mining farms probably won’t be able to last, but long-term holders haven’t bailed—so the consensus is still there; it’s just grinding people down.
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MrStopLoss
· 10h ago
A funding rate of 4.5% doesn’t look high, but historical data says the return rate over the next six months will be low—this market will require patience, so don’t go too heavy on your position.
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