After two pumps and pullbacks, AI is waiting for the next pullback to enter

$BTC $ETH #比特币 #Market analysis

Brothers, this weekend’s move has an argument for both bulls and bears.

BTC started its rebound from the 63,100 area in the early morning, then consolidated and climbed higher, breaking above 65,000 and continuing to push up, topping out around 65,800. ETH surged in sync, climbing from 1,870 to the 1,940 area. The price went up, but so did the volume—BTC’s volume is up 66% versus yesterday. On the 4H timeframe, it has formed a standard rising channel, and the daily chart is standing above the 50-day moving average at 65,000.

But the details are a bit subtle. “Big pie” left long upper wicks from the 65,788 and 65,800 levels after the spike and pullback, suggesting that real sell pressure exists at these points. ETH also faced resistance and pulled back around 1,946, and the close failed to hold above the 1,900 round-number level.

The bullish trend hasn’t ended, but in the short term, profits need to be digested. The 4H and daily structures are intact—BTC support sits in the 64,500–64,800 range, and ETH support is around 1,898. As long as these two zones hold, this rebound channel hasn’t gone bad. The issue is that short-term indicators are overheated, so we need to wait for a pullback to correct.

Two major external bullish signals

First, UBS’s latest assessment from its trading division suggests that the historic-level selloffs in momentum stocks and semiconductor stocks may be nearing the end. In the AI space, fundamentals have continued improving. UBS recommends that investors build positions in batches on dips. As the underlying driving force of this round of the tech bull market, the expectation of capital flowing back into the AI sector is also a medium- and long-term positive for the crypto market.

Second, the AI agent concept is expanding into payments and finance. Mastercard released a whitepaper at the World Artificial Intelligence Conference, stating that AI agents are helping B2B cross-border payments move from “digitization” toward “autonomy.” AI needs programmable money, and blockchain is the only settlement layer that can carry AI’s autonomous payments. This is the biggest narrative driver for long-term in crypto assets.

AIX today: bullish but don’t chase. Wait for pullback confirmation

BTC

Current price around 65,200, and the 15-minute RSI has already cooled down from the overbought zone.

Entry zone: 64,500–64,300 (4H key support band)
Stop loss: below 61,800 (if it breaks, the long structure weakens)
Take profit: first target 66,000; after a valid breakout, look for 67,300–68,300

Risk-reward ratio is about 2:1, meeting opening conditions.

ETH

Entry zone: 1,898–1,870 (former support turned resistance area)
Stop loss: below 1,845
Take profit: first target 1,930–1,940; if it breaks, look for above 1,970

The “catch-up” logic for ETH remains unchanged. Once the pullback is in place, upside momentum tends to outperform BTC.

Contingency plan

If the market doesn’t pull back and instead spikes higher, give up on chasing orders; consider it only after a pullback confirmation following a volume-backed breakout of the prior high.

Trading pace—don’t be impatient.

Chat in the comments: Are you waiting for the pullback this time, or going straight in?

Personal opinion only; not investment advice. The market is risky—take responsibility for yourself.
$BTC $ETH #比特币 #行情分析 #AI交易