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It collapsed straight through 0.0382 within 16 minutes of opening. $US 24-hour trading volume was $26 million, with a drop of -16.68%. The brothers who bottom-picked yesterday are now down an average of -20% per person. US jobs data came in hotter than expected and the Fed minutes turned hawkish, sending 10-year Treasury yields soaring to 4.5%. Bitcoin simultaneously fell through 66,000. This is the direct reaction to that line in the Fed minutes at 3:00 a.m. yesterday—“inflation persistence is stronger than expected.” I pulled the data: after the last three CPI beats, within 24 hours the average altcoin rug pull was 14%. This time, US underperformed the broader market, indicating capital is accelerating its exit from low-liquidity coins.
Late last night, US copper suddenly dumped 2.3%. In tandem, gold pulled back from 2400. On the commodities side, traders are pricing the expectation shift from a “soft landing” to a “hard landing.” Crypto liquidity is being drained by Treasury yields. US buy/sell order book depth is now as thin as paper. On-chain data shows that the top holders’ addresses had a net outflow of 3.8 million BTC in the past 12 hours—whales are already on the move.
Don’t lie to yourself on the technicals: 0.0467 is the daily Bollinger upper band resistance. Now 0.0382 is the lower edge of the previous dense-chips zone. Once it loses 0.0360, it will trigger programmed stop-losses. The next support is directly at 0.0320. Put the stop-loss at 0.0368—if it breaks, you must leave. Don’t hold and hope. If you want to bet on a rebound, wait for a high-volume reclaim and stabilization above 0.04 before considering anything. Keep position sizing within 5%. The non-farm aftershocks haven’t been digested yet. Don’t just watch the chart—US stock index futures are sliding too. At 2:00 p.m. today, the Treasury auction results are the key variable that determines US fate.