$ZEST After the past three halvings, the average gain in week 10 was 418%. Now the week 10 data shows a 22.52% gain—nearly 20 times slower—but the trading volume of $11.9M already exceeds the average of the first three times over the same period. Historically, every “slow bull run” has signaled that the final breakout power will be stronger.

I use historical patterns to project: After the 2016 halving, in week 10 the average price was 0.18, with volume of $2.3M. Then in week 11 there was a violent rally to 0.45, for a 150% gain. In 2020, it was similar: week 10 volume was $4.1M, price 0.22; week 11 surged to 0.68, up 209%. The current $ZEST volume of $11.9M is 3–5 times that of the same period in the previous two times, and the price at 0.26 is slightly higher than the historical period average, but incoming incremental capital is more aggressive. If the 2020 pattern repeats, the target price range in week 11 is 0.52–0.72, corresponding to a 100–176% gain.
But there are also risks: in 2020, week 12 saw a 35% pullback. If this leg fails to break the 0.27–0.28 resistance zone, it could drop straight back to 0.21. My suggestion: enter with a small position around 0.26, stop-loss at 0.21 (the 24h low). Take profit #1 at 0.35 (prior high resistance), and take profit #2 at 0.50. Keep position sizing within 15% of total funds. Don’t heavily bet on it—historical patterns show that after week 11 there are often 15–20 days of sideways adjustment.
Lastly, I’ll mention this: I opened a position at 0.24 and added at 0.22, for a total position of 20%. If it breaks below 0.21, I’ll cut everything and wait to buy back at 0.15–0.18. Don’t ask me why I play it like this—after the past three halvings, before each big surge there was always this kind of “slow-heating” trap. Those who can’t hold through it end up as bagholders.
History won’t repeat simply, but it will rhyme.