Based on the current (around 21:45 on July 20) real-time Ethereum price action, the probability that ETH will reach $1,936 tonight is low. The specific reasons are as follows:

📊 Current price and key levels

- Real-time price: ETH is currently ranging around $1,860–$1,870, and it still needs to rise about 4%–4.5% to reach $1,936.
- Key resistance: The first resistance above is at $1,880–$1,890 (today’s high range). The stronger resistance is the 100-day moving average / prior high at $1,940–$1,944, and $1,936 sits right inside this strong resistance zone.

⚙️ Technical momentum is insufficient

- Today’s 24-hour high-low range is roughly $1,785–$1,895. Overall, this is a sideways repair after a big drop. RSI is neutral, and MACD has not formed a strong volume-driven bullish golden cross. Short-term upward momentum is not strong enough to break through the heavy resistance zone above $1,900+ in one shot.

- If tonight can’t first hold steady above $1,880–$1,890, then a move toward $1,936 is basically unlikely; conversely, if it breaks below the $1,850 support, it may retest the $1,820–$1,780 range.

### 💡 Conclusion

Tonight, ETH is more likely to trade in a $1,840–$1,890 range, with a relatively small chance of touching $1,936. You’ll need to wait for a subsequent breakout with volume above the $1,890–$1,944 resistance band before there’s a chance to see prices of $1,936+.

The crypto market is highly volatile. The above is an objective technical analysis only and does not constitute investment advice. Please pay attention to risk control.

Do you want me to help set alert price levels to watch for an ETH breakout/breakdown of key levels? $BTC