Most people are still staring at the 15-minute RSI oversold signal, thinking a rebound is due—but the 4-hour model gives 83 points bearish, and the daily trend hasn’t flipped either. The 1-hour ATR is only 0.005, and price is being kept very tightly compressed—this kind of compression usually doesn’t end gently.



Now entering around 0.2777-0.2783, with a stop-loss at 0.2899.

TP1 0.2685, with the first leg profit potentially getting violently boosted.
TP2 0.2624, with the profit potential expanded even more violently.
TP3 0.2533—if that happens, the profit here is close to a violently boosted level.

Edge is 4.8, meaning the probability of the bears being favored is far higher than that of a rebound. Don’t get fooled by that oversold signal—compressed moves often turn out much more decisive. Don’t let your position sizing get carried away; if this market flips, it can do it fast.

$RAVE
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CultureCollector
· 7h ago
Edge is 4.8, and the probability of shorts is high; but honestly, if this kind of market suddenly breaks upward on a big volume spike, make sure you set your stop-loss properly.
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GasPainter
· 07-21 04:25
This compression is truly brutal—after 4 hours and 83 minutes, the bearish signal is very clear. Don’t let short-term RSI fool you.
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HodlPlankton
· 07-20 15:16
Entered at 0.2777, stop-loss at 0.2899. The risk-reward ratio looks fine, but the position size really can’t be too heavy—if there’s a sudden violent pump, you’re finished.
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AirdropHunter
· 07-20 07:05
I tried a similar structure: an oversold condition on the 15-minute chart is often a fake bounce—so it’s still safer to follow the direction of the larger time frame.
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AirdropScavenger
· 07-20 06:53
RAVE’s chart: “bian yuan fen 4.8” indicates the shorts are controlling the market, but the end of compression often moves violently—either you make a huge profit or you take a huge loss. Judge for yourself.
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BubblePhotog
· 07-20 06:41
The daily chart hasn’t flipped bullish, the 4-hour chart looks bearish again, and a 15-minute oversold condition is only noise—I get the logic of this trade.
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LeverageDecompress
· 07-20 06:36
TP1 to 0.2685— the profit potential looks tempting, but I’m just afraid that once it gets squeezed, it will move straight in the opposite direction; that’s what would really hurt.
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RektRecoveryCoach
· 07-20 06:34
Bears have a higher probability of prevailing, but the market always has surprises—consider entering in small positions in batches; don’t go all-in at once.
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HodlPhilosopher
· 07-20 06:32
Big chance of winning, but the payouts are average. If it really reaches TP3 at 0.2533, then the profit is what you’d call brutal—but you have to keep a close eye on it.
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EarningsAnalyst
· 07-20 06:32
Don’t just buy the dip because the RSI is oversold—last time I got trapped by a signal like this, and then it crashed after a squeeze.
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