Wu Says This Week’s Macro Indicators and Analysis: ECB Interest Rate Decision, Tesla and Google Earnings Reports

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Compiled by: GaryMa, WuShuo Blockchain

Summary

Last week, U.S. inflation data—CPI and PPI—both came in below expectations. In its July monetary policy report, the Federal Reserve raised the mid-point of the year-end interest rate to 3.8%. This week, the focus is on the ECB interest rate decision and earnings reports from companies such as Tesla and Google.

Last Week’s Recap

U.S. June CPI rose 3.5% year over year, below the market expectation of 3.8%. Core CPI excluding food and energy increased 2.6% year over year, below the market expectation of 2.8%.

U.S. June PPI rose 5.5% year over year, versus the expected 6.2%. The prior value was revised from 6.50% to 6.0%.

For the week ending July 11, the number of initial jobless claims recorded 208k, the lowest since the week of May 2, 2026.

Federal Reserve Beige Book: The U.S. economy expanded slightly; employment improved, but price pressures remain.

The Federal Reserve released its July monetary policy report: Inflation rose again, and the mid-point of the year-end interest rate forecast was raised to 3.8%.

This Week’s Key Events & Indicators

July 23

Eurozone: ECB deposit facility rate through July 23 (20:15)

U.S.: Initial jobless claims for the week ending July 18 (in ten-thousands) (20:30)

Google, Intel, Tesla—Q2 earnings reports to be released after U.S. market close

July 24

AMD Advancing AI conference held July 22–23 in San Francisco

TSLA2.86%
INTC8.17%
AMD8.02%
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NoStopAtheist
· 15h ago
This time, both CPI and PPI data beat expectations. The Fed’s July report directly raised the year-end policy rate median to 3.8%, indicating the rate-hiking cycle hasn’t ended. However, initial jobless claims hit a new low, showing strong economic resilience; still, the longer high interest rates persist, the worse it is for risk assets. Next week, watch the ECB’s rate decision—if it also hikes rates, the US dollar could keep strengthening, putting Bitcoin under even more pressure. Google’s and Tesla’s earnings reports also matter: can the AI theme continue to lead the market? AMD’s AI event may bring fresh catalysts.
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OldBlackVelvetKey
· 20h ago
The crypto market is about to get hammered again by macro data—are you planning to buy the dip?
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BlurBidder
· 07-20 00:49
On one side, stubborn inflation; on the other, strong employment— the Federal Reserve is truly caught between a rock and a hard place. If the ECB also turns hawkish, global liquidity will tighten, and the crypto market could still fall further.
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DivergenceFox
· 07-19 16:59
Both CPI and PPI came in above expectations, while jobless claims hit a new low. The Fed’s case for rate hikes is strong, but markets are still expected to swing and churn—let’s see what the ECB has to say tonight.
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OnChainArch
· 07-19 16:41
U.S. Treasury yields are about to surge again, and risk assets are trembling.
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NightRadioHost
· 07-19 16:36
With data this strong, does the Federal Reserve still dare to raise rates? Aren’t they afraid of crashing the economy?
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StableSavingsClub
· 07-19 16:32
With inflation data this strong, an upward revision to the Federal Reserve’s rate outlook is inevitable, but initial jobless claims being that low suggests the labor market is still booming. Is a soft landing still on the table? Next week’s Google and Tesla earnings reports will be crucial—whether tech stocks can hold up depends on them. Also keep an eye on AMD’s AI conference: demand for computing power is still growing.
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