7.19 evening thoughts



The overall chart pattern tonight is very clear: the big-picture trend remains unchanged, and the short-term action is a weak repair rebound after an over-iteration.

During the day, BTC bottomed out around 62,500 and quickly stabilized, with a modest rebound that held above 64,000. But everyone should注意:
This rebound has absolutely no volume follow-through; it’s a typical over-iteration repair, not a strong reversal signal.
On the daily timeframe, it still looks like lows are shifting lower, moving averages are suppressing price, and the head/body structure remains intact. On the weekly timeframe, it’s even more deeply weak—there are absolutely no signs that the overall direction has changed.

For BTC’s rebound around 65,100–65,600, the target looks toward 63,700–63,200.
For ETH’s rebound around 1,900–1,940, the target looks toward 1,840–1,800.

$BTC $ETH #ETH站稳1900美元
BTC1.76%
ETH0.90%
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MemeArchaeologist
· 07-19 16:59
Everyone agrees: an “involume” rebound is used to lure longs. As for BTC at this level, the longer it stays range-bound, the more favorable it is for the bears. Tonight, it will most likely continue to probe lower to 63,000.
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EmotionThermometer
· 07-19 16:35
Analysis is spot-on. On the daily timeframe, the market is indeed arranged bearish; the weekly chart is also weaker. However, after the short-term oversold bounce, the rebound strength is limited. It’s still best to short in line with the trend—don’t get greedy for that small rebound profit. Wait until the bounce reaches the 65,100–65,600 range to short, set the stop-loss a bit higher, and look for targets at 63,700–63,200.
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ClockCycle
· 07-19 16:29
This rebound is indeed weak. The support at 62,500 looks okay, but without volume it’s just playing around. Wait for the rebound to reach around 65,000, then short it.
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M2Watcher
· 07-19 14:33
The rebound is without limit; the shorts keep going—don’t chase longs.
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