I just saw another on-chain transfer that various KOLs were hyping as “smart money.” Honestly, I almost chased it… My finger hovered over the buy button for those 30 seconds, and then a question suddenly popped into my head: am I trying to go in because I actually understood the logic behind this address, or am I just afraid of missing that wave of the upswing? To be honest, every time I get itchy from these “abnormal moves” and then look back afterward, it turns out emotions were placing the order for me, and I never really digested the information. Put simply, those large transfers could be institutions rebalancing, could be cold/hot wallet consolidation, or even could be arbitrage traders just messing around… ordinary users like us can’t tell the difference. Anyway, my current trading discipline is: whenever I see overwhelming analysis and interpretations flooding in, I’ll wait for that burst of attention to die down first—because having the money in hand is always better than hanging it on a tree.

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