Predict.fun World Cup final: A showdown between Europe’s champion and South America’s champion, with Spain having a 58% chance of winning

Mars Finance news: On July 19, according to data from the prediction market platform Predict.fun, the 2026 USA–Canada–Mexico World Cup final will be Spain vs Argentina. As of the time of publication, the market gives Spain a championship probability of about 58%, and Argentina a probability of about 41%, with traders overall more favoring Spain to lift the trophy.

At 3:00 a.m. Beijing time on July 20, the 2026 World Cup final is about to kick off. As the two best-performing teams in this tournament, Spain and Argentina will launch their final push for the trophy. This will also be the first time in history that the reigning European champion and the reigning South American champion have met in a World Cup final.

The two sides have faced each other 14 times in history, with each side recording 6 wins and there being 2 draws, while they have met only once before on the World Cup stage: in the 1966 World Cup group stage, Argentina defeated Spain 2:1.

Both teams have set multiple records in this World Cup. Spain have conceded just 1 goal in their first seven matches. If they complete a clean sheet in the final and win the title, they will set a new record for the fewest goals conceded by a World Cup champion in a single edition. Argentina, meanwhile, qualified for the final with seven straight wins and 19 goals, extending their World Cup consecutive unbeaten record to 13 matches (11 wins and 2 draws). If they successfully defend the title, Argentina will become the third team in history to win back-to-back World Cups, after Italy and Brazil.