I just looked through a batch of on-chain data from chain games, and honestly, this sector is getting a bit hard right now. The inflation models are breaking too fast—once a studio script runs, the coin price spirals down, and retail users who come in are just bag-holders. Lately I’ve been checking out some wallet address profiling tools. You paste a wallet address in, and the AI automatically tags it as “most likely a retail trader,” “suspected market maker,” or “an old hand”—it’s pretty interesting. But honestly, I think if you can trust it 70% of the time, that would be pretty good already. Cash flows can be faked, and interaction patterns can be disguised. The “big wallet” you think you’re seeing might just be a studio’s fur-collecting operation in a mask. My own approach is: use profiling as a reference, but mainly focus on the order flow and trade traces in real trading—after all, I’ve kept the books for losses before, and my intuition about losses sometimes beats on-chain data. Anyway, I’m still exploring. I’ll leave it at that for now.

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