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Just finished chatting with my friend about grid trading and going all-in.
To be honest, I used to like going all-in too. I thought that was the most fun—only to end up a few times waking up in the middle of the night to check the charts, and my heartbeat was more intense than the market itself. Now, I actually feel that methods like grid trading or DCA—cutting losses with a “dull knife”—fit me better. It’s not that they make more money; it’s that at least I can sleep.
Lately, there are always people watching on-chain for large transfers or changes in exchange hot and cold wallets, calling it “smart money” signals. Then the crowd that follows the trend rushes in and gets trapped in another batch. I don’t know whether those are truly big players rebalancing their positions, but either way, I don’t buy it anymore—if you place trades based on abnormal activity and you get liquidated, no one is going to sympathize with you.
I’ve set a habit for myself: each trade must not exceed 5% of my total position. If it gets liquidated, then that’s just how it is—at least my position curve won’t break. This approach is pretty dumb, but it has really kept me much calmer. Turning luck into skill—once is enough.