Today, I'm focusing on two U.S. stock contracts: META / MSFT.


Core conclusion: META is strong, MSFT is stable.
But neither is a blind chase at highs; the key is to wait for confirmation, wait for pullbacks, and control stop-losses.
META has rebounded from lows with volume, and has just hit the MA99 / EMA99 resistance zone near 606. This shows that funds have indeed entered, but it also happens to hit the first resistance.
Therefore, the strategy for META is not to chase, but to: go long on pullbacks, and then consider rolling positions after a confirmed breakout.
METAUSDT plan:
Priority long zone: 585 - 596
Aggressive long zone: 600 - 604 (small position)
Stop-loss: 574
First take-profit: 628
Second take-profit: 650
Strong trend target: 675
If you chase right now, the stop-loss at 574 means a risk of nearly 5%, and the risk-reward ratio is not ideal.
The most comfortable position is to wait for a pullback around 590 that holds, then a re-upswing.
MSFT logic is different from META.
It's not an explosive type, but rather a steady recovery. The key level now is around 386.
386 is the confirmation level for whether the short-term rebound can truly turn strong.
Only if it holds 386 is there a chance to continue looking at 397 / 405 / 415.
MSFTUSDT plan:
If not yet opened a position:
Priority: wait for a pullback to 376 - 380
Or wait for confirmation after holding 386 - 390
If planning to buy at the current price of 382:
Main stop-loss: 374
Warning level: 378
First take-profit: 397
Second take-profit: 405
Third take-profit: 415
Strong trend target: 430
The cost of 382 is not bad, but you cannot hold too deep a drawdown.
If you set the stop-loss at 365, the loss would be nearly 4.5%, while the first take-profit of 397 would yield less than 4%, making the risk-reward ratio unfavorable.
So a better approach is: use 374 as the main stop-loss. If wrong, a small loss; if right, take profits in batches.
Today there is the Non-Farm Payrolls report, so volatility will be high around the open. After the U.S. stock cash market opens, it's easier for the real direction to emerge.
So the strategy now is not to add positions and gamble, but:
Do not add positions before the open.
If positions are heavy, reduce by 30%-50% first.
If positions are light, set stop-losses and wait for confirmation.
If key levels hold, continue to hold.
If stop-loss levels are broken, exit immediately.
For MSFT:
If it holds 386, continue to hold.
If it reaches 397, reduce positions first.
If it breaks 378, be on alert.
If it breaks 374, admit the mistake and exit.
For META:
If it holds 606, continue to observe strength.
If it pulls back to 596-600 and holds, can look to go long.
If it breaks 574, the bullish logic is invalidated.
Today is not a day to blindly chase tech stocks.
Core discipline:
Do not add positions before the open, do not add positions while losing, and do not turn winning trades into losing trades.
If wrong, take a small loss; if right, take profits in batches.
Personal thoughts, not investment advice.
MSFT1.16%
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