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57,000 jobs. The worst number since the pandemic. And the market went up.
Nasdaq futures +0.80%. S&P 500 +0.46%. Gold +2.65%.
This is not confusion. This is the market doing exactly what it always does.
Bad economic news = good news for rate cuts.
The 57k print (vs 114k expected) tells the Fed the economy is slowing on its own. No hike needed. The tightening is already working.
The nine Fed officials who pencilled in hikes? That conversation just ended with one jobs report.
Warsh said the data decides everything. The data just decided.
Gold up 2.65% is the clearest signal — rate hike expectations collapsing, dollar weakening, Fed pivoting from hawk to neutral.
The market is not celebrating weak jobs. It’s celebrating the end of the rate hike narrative.
September is no longer a hike meeting. It’s a hold at best. A cut conversation at worst.