Thursday, Nonfarm Payrolls take the stage! Wage levels are the key—can they turn the tide?



Yesterday, we issued a series of long signals. During the evening livestream, we called for a bullish breakout, and we went long all the way from 585 to 60888, easily taking profit on both long positions! It also recharged the faith of our bros! But we pushed too hard yesterday... took a night to recover. Today is Nonfarm, and we keep going! Everybody stand up!

The key point is tonight's NFP + wage data: based on current market sentiment, it shouldn't be too far above expectations. Wages are the inflation subcomponent the Fed values most, with higher weight than new payrolls, and have a stronger impact on market trends.

Bros, we can't predict the data itself; we can only judge direction through forward guidance and market sentiment! Tonight I personally lean toward payrolls coming in within the 11-13 range.

Wages are the focus:
1, Slightly below expectations: annual rate <3.4%, monthly rate <0.3%. I lean toward buying on dips and looking for 638.
2, In line with expectations: the current consolidation and repair trend will continue; still buy on dips.
3, Above expectations: directly bearish, breaking 580, spike down and go short directly! All yesterday's macro bullish logic will be invalidated!

Yesterday, four macro indicators collectively weakened, which is absolutely dominant bullish for the crypto sector. From the early session until now, the market has been consolidating and repairing, stabilizing above 595, transitioning before NFP. Look for a single-direction move after the data!

Bitcoin: within-day, long in the 597 area, target 608-626-638!
Ethereum: same plan, target 1658-1718!

Today's box bottom is 580-587, resistance 618-638!

Everyone, go all out today! #Circle股价重挫17% #TradFiCFD黄金大师赛
BTC5.25%
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BerryColdWallet
· 3h ago
Bro, this analysis is spot on. The payroll data is indeed the key tonight. Just waiting for the 638 target!
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