The earlier smaller U.S. non-farm data has already weakened, setting the tone; tonight, non-farm as a whole is very likely not to strengthen significantly.

The focus is on payrolling as the key data point. Once wage growth slips, rate-cut expectations heat up immediately. In that case, BTC should surge higher accordingly, and the target for this leg of the upside is expected to look toward the 63500 area.

Conversely, if the market borrows momentum to surge higher and then comes under pressure when it reaches the 61800-62300 zone, this range is an excellent spot to set up a short. The downside room in the upper zone will open up completely as the move unfolds.

At the current stage, the market is just probing the top-band resistance of the box range. With tonight’s non-farm data plus the central bank’s remarks colliding, the two catalysts are about to lock in the near-term direction.

The overall idea is very clear: if the data is weak, ride the momentum to go long and push higher. Once the rally meets resistance and it’s in place, reverse and go short from a high point. Strictly manage your position size and simply wait for the market to choose a breakout. $BTC #沃什宣告终结前瞻指引