2026.7.2 Trend Prediction and Order Strategy (For personal learning and review only)

BTC Main Trend (70%): Pullback to Build Momentum, Continue to Surge and Rebound Path: Slight pullback to 594–595 support to stabilize, then test the previous high at 604–605, after breaking, target the mid-term resistance at 615-617; Logic: The momentum for the oversold rebound remains; the pullback is a shakeout to accumulate positions, with no signs of a topping pattern with high volume. Ranging to Form Top (20%): Sideways oscillation back and forth within a range Range 590-605 repeatedly seesaw, indicators are overbought, long and short positions change hands, oscillating for 1-2 days before choosing a direction. Rebound Ends and Weakens Again (10%) Fails to hold above 605, falls back with volume below 590 support, returns to downtrend testing the previous low at 577.

ETH: Pullback to Accumulate Momentum to Continue Rising Pullback to 1598–1602 support to stabilize, rebound breaks the previous high at 1630, upward target the mid-term resistance at 1650. Range Oscillation 1585-1630 sideways oscillation and hand-changing, waiting for direction selection. Rebound Aborts and Turns Down Breaks below the key support at 1585, retreats to test the previous low at 1550.

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Go with the Trend Long from Low (Preferred, Betting on Rebound Continuation) BTC: 594-595 (enter on pullback stabilization) Stop-loss: 590 (if breaks the starting support of this rebound, rebound logic invalidated) First take-profit: 604–605 Second take-profit: 616–617 exit all ETH: 1598-1602 go long on pullback stabilization, stop-loss: 1584, take-profit in batches: first take-profit: 1628–1630, second take-profit: 1648–1650, close all positions

Resistance Short Position (Open Only When Rebound Reaches the Level, Do Not Pre-place) BTC: Entry zone: 604-605 (touching the previous high resistance area) Stop-loss: 610 (if breaks resistance, short invalidated) Take-profit: 595-590 ETH: 1628-1632 short at previous high resistance, stop-loss: 1652, take-profit: 1600-1585

Breakdown backup short position (extreme weakness contingency) BTC: Two consecutive 30-minute candlesticks break below 590: enter short on retracement to 591-592, stop-loss: 595, target: 578 ETH: 30-minute closing price breaks below 1585, retracement to 1587-1590 to chase short, stop-loss: 1603, target: 1552