WSJ: Internal Divisions in Iran Threaten Peace Negotiations

On June 30, the WSJ reported that informed officials revealed that internal power struggles in Iran are threatening U.S.-Iran peace negotiations: civilian leaders are seeking to unfreeze billions of dollars in assets, while hardline military officials are striving to control the Strait of Hormuz. Led by Iranian President Ebrahim Raisi, the civilian leaders aim to unfreeze billions of dollars to alleviate the plight of millions of Iranians. However, other forces, including the Revolutionary Guard, which currently dominates Iran, have different plans. The Revolutionary Guard intends to maintain complete control over this crucial strait at all costs and plans to establish a lucrative toll system that would not only bolster the military's finances but also dominate the regional security landscape. The Revolutionary Guard has informed mediators that if they do not receive guarantees regarding Iran's exclusive control over the Strait of Hormuz during the Doha negotiations, they will close the waterway again. Additionally, the organization has demanded that the U.S. and other countries abandon plans for vessels to pass through the southern waters of the strait (near the Oman side).
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