Nomura refutes the “semiconductor peak theory”: an “epic gap” is on the way. Price increases and upward earnings revisions remain the biggest catalysts.

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Mars Finance news, Nomura warned that the AI semiconductor cycle is far from peaking, and the second half of 2026 may usher in an 'epic' supply chain mismatch. With cloud vendors' capital expenditures continuing to expand, shortages of components such as advanced packaging, PCB, and CCL will drive up prices and profit upgrades. Although TSMC is aggressively expanding its wafer-level packaging capacity, the real supply bottleneck will shift to wafer-level substrates (WoS) as well as smaller components such as printed circuit boards (PCB) and copper-clad laminates (CCL). This structural shortage will directly exacerbate short-term market price volatility, but it also confirms the long-term sustainability of this cycle. (Cailianshe)
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