CoinJie World news: Institutional analyst Jersey said Walsh appears to be fully committed to weakening the Federal Reserve’s forward-looking guidance in recent years. From a market perspective, this means the Federal Reserve may make the market feel surprised more frequently—although Walsh said at the June press conference that he hoped the market would guide the Federal Reserve. This means that if the market has already priced in a certain change, the Federal Reserve may sometimes do the opposite, because an information vacuum will emerge in the Federal Reserve’s reaction function. I remember that the last major surprise was in September 2015, when the market had priced in a rate-hike probability of more than 90%, but the Federal Reserve did not take action due to the depreciation of other currencies.

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Yield慢炖锅
· 6h ago
That time in 2015 was truly classic — a 90% probability of a rate hike but they held steady. If the Fed pulls another reverse play like that now, the options market will likely have to reprice volatility.
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AirdropSideQuest
· 6h ago
Wash's idea is quite interesting, keeping the market guessing, but the information vacuum also means that volatility will increase. Retail investors need to be careful.
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