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🔥Small non-farm ADP disappoints, but Waller goes silent! Did you guess tonight's script?
U.S. June ADP employment figure came in at only 98k, versus expectations of 118k and a previous 122k. As soon as the data was released, Bitcoin surged, and the bulls instantly perked up!
So what happened? Tonight, Waller said: "No forward guidance will be provided." Tight-lipped as a steel barrel. Market expecting new signals? None. Where's the hawkish stance? Where's the storm? All thunder, no rain.
👉Looking at $BTC around 58,647, Bollinger Middle Band at 58,497, Upper Band at 58,721. Short-term resistance is holding, RSI6 back to 63.54 suggests slight overbought conditions. The daily chart remains bearish overall, with each rebound weaker than the last. Can the 57,000 level hold?
👉Looking at $ETH : 1,572.90, Bollinger Middle Band at 1,569.33. RSI6 surged to 63.15—even stronger than BTC. But MACD just crossed to positive with a golden cross, DIF 0.61 crossing above DEA -0.12. This is a short-term signal, but the resistance at 1,600 is obvious.
Trump said Iran negotiations are progressing well. Geopolitical easing is theoretically bearish for safe-haven assets, but Bitcoin now tracks more closely with U.S. stocks. Let's see how the U.S. stock market opens.
📌With the market at this point, my view: ADP data was a short-term sentiment boost; Waller's silence is the key—uncertainty itself is the biggest certainty. Short-term traders watch the 1-hour timeframe; trend traders wait for non-farm payrolls to land.
If you find it useful, hit follow. Watch the market together every night without getting lost.👇
#BTC #ETH #美联储 #加密市场 #行情分析