$BTC Live streaming script (calm and heartfelt, suitable for persona)

At 9:30 PM, we wrap up the market, focusing on analyzing the Federal Reserve's statements and the overall trend of U.S. stocks, clarifying the underlying logic of tonight's market.

The tone of this round of Fed officials' speeches is leaning hawkish, directly stating that inflation is falling slower than expected, cooling expectations for rate cuts this year, and not ruling out maintaining high interest rates or even raising rates further. U.S. bond yields have risen accordingly, and the U.S. dollar has strengthened slightly.

After the end of Q2, U.S. stocks have diverged and weakened, with profit-taking in the tech sector, risk assets collectively entering risk-off mode, Bitcoin under pressure and retreating, frequent market spikes, and a continuous increase in short-term liquidation volumes.

Many retail investors always blindly open positions based on price fluctuations, but fail to understand that the root cause is the tightening or loosening of the Fed's liquidity faucet. That brother who previously wanted to turn 1,000U into 100kU initially only chased rises and sold off based on coin price movements, completely ignoring the macro environment, and his losing positions kept piling up.

Now he has grasped the core logic: the Fed sets the direction of liquidity, U.S. stocks determine risk appetite, and the crypto market merely follows the fluctuations.

When the overall trend is tightening, avoid holding short positions; when the trend becomes clear, gradually roll positions in batches. Strictly stop losses on wrong trades without averaging down. Use manageable small losses in exchange for definite swing profits. Don't rely on a single gamble for quick riches; instead, rely on repeating correct trades to slowly compound.

After tonight's news events are digested, the market is prone to repeated spikes. Make sure to reduce leverage positions and don't let short-term volatility mess up your mindset.

Trading is never about winning or losing on a single trade; it's about long-term discipline and understanding. Every night, we break down the macro market at a fixed time, see the flow of capital, and avoid traps set by news events.