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$TRIA went from 0.0167 to 0.0212 in just 6 hours, with a trading volume of $9.3 million, but I already closed all my positions built at 0.0198 10 minutes ago. Why? Because I'm too familiar with this kind of trend. The market maker's operation is nothing more than three steps: accumulation, washout, and distribution. At this price, 92% of the circulating supply is concentrated in the top address, and the on-chain turnover rate suddenly spiked from 800 daily active users to 4,500. The dog庄 wants you to see what he wants you to take over.
Step one: In the early morning, it dropped to 0.0167 with shrinking volume and stabilizing, retail panic selling, and the market maker absorbed 7.5 million tokens. Step two: It pulled from 0.018 to 0.0212, selling while pulling, the funding rate turned from negative to positive at 0.03%, and the long/short ratio started to rise. Step three: Now it's stuck oscillating at 0.0204, volume hasn't kept up, and the 30-minute MACD top divergence signal has appeared. Veterans all know this is a classic "distribution during a rally" structure. The dog庄 has already loaded enough goods in his pocket, and the remaining script is nothing more than a fake breakout to trap people, or a direct dump back to 0.0185.
My operation suggestion: Do not chase at the current price of 0.0204. If you have positions, set a stop-loss at 0.01985. If it breaks below 0.02 within 15 minutes, leave immediately, don't wait for a rebound. If you want to enter, place a limit order at 0.0183-0.0187, control position size to below 20%, first take-profit at 0.0215, second take-profit at 0.023. Remember, at least 60% of the $9.3 million trading volume is the market maker's wash trading; the real turnover is not as hot as it appears.
I've been using this approach for 5 years in short-term trading and have seen too many people die from FOMO chasing highs. Want to follow the rhythm and catch the waves? Click on my profile during the session, and I share real-time order book and order queue data every day. The chart doesn't lie.