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-56% loss from trading Memes within three months, only recovered yesterday with a single trade made while sleeping. Still holding $NFP position, locked in directly today.
NFP is currently at 0.0065, up 38.85% in 24h, with a trading volume of 24.5M, triple the usual. You might think chasing the rally is a retail move, but let me tell you about the data trap: in the past 7 days, it bounced from a low of 0.0040 by 62% to 0.0065, but looking at the daily chart, this coin has been slowly declining from 0.015 to 0.004, and this is just the first part of an oversold rebound. The key indicator is the 24h volume surging from 8M to 24.5M, indicating it's not retail following the trend, but a major player testing the waters in the accumulation phase.
My trading logic is simple – bet on the second wave using volatility. The price of 0.0065 is exactly the 0.236 Fibonacci level from 0.015 to 0.004. If it holds above 0.0060 within 6 hours, it will likely test the 0.382 level at 0.0075. My stop-loss is set at 0.0058; if it breaks, it means the major player is distributing at 0.0060, so I'll cut the position. Take-profit targets are in two parts: first target 0.0072 (10% above previous high of 0.0065), second target 0.0080 (the limit of 0.382).
Position sizing: 10% of total capital, don't exceed. Split into two orders: enter half position at 0.0065, add the other half if it retests 0.0060 without breaking. This is a left-side trial order; if wrong, loss is no more than 8%, if right, gain 20-30%.
There are only two ways to die in crypto: chasing highs and getting buried, or missing out with anxiety. NFP's RSI has now surged to 76, overbought but not diverging – a truly strong coin continues to rise despite overbought conditions. I lost 56% last time because I couldn't hold in the overbought zone; this time, I'll use data to keep my hands steady.
Finally, I don't advise blindly following this trade. Go check NFP's on-chain large transfer records yourself to see if any addresses have been consistently buying in the past 48 hours. I posted a screenshot of my previous loss in the plaza, and I will keep updating this recovery. Want to know real-time major player flows? Follow me, and I'll put the analysis tool in the comments.
Guess whether NFP's close tomorrow will be red or green? Pick an answer below, and I'll post the odds in my review next week. A. Below 0.0058 B. 0.0065-0.0070 C. Above 0.0070