#预测世界杯英格兰VS刚果 Based on multiple predictions, England has a clear advantage in the Round of 16, but the Democratic Republic of Congo's defense is tenacious, making it difficult for England to achieve a big win.

Key highlight: The clash of attack and defense

· Advancement probability: Opta supercomputer predicts England's advancement probability is as high as 82%, with a 73.9% chance of winning in regular time, while Congo's upset chance is only 11.3%.

· Key variable: Defensive midfielder Declan Rice returns for this match, greatly improving midfield interceptions. Previously, when he was absent, England allowed 13 shots from Panama. However, the right-back is forced to use a fill-in player due to injury, which could become a defensive vulnerability.

Congo's (DR Congo's) confidence

· Dark horse quality: For the first time in their history, they have reached the knockout stage, having held Portugal to a 1-1 draw in the group stage.

· Tactical features: They are accustomed to a five-defender compact defense, and their expected goals against (xGA) ranks 5th lowest among all teams. The forward core, Wissa (3 goals, 1 assist), is the most dangerous breakout point in counterattacks.

Score prediction

Mainstream opinion favors a narrow win for England, with experts and media generally predicting 1-0 or 2-0. Considering Congo's compact defense, the pace of the game is expected to be slower, and the number of goals will not be too high.