BTC closed June with a large bearish candle. Can it stand up in July?

I checked BTC’s performance in July over the past decade, and it looks pretty good.

Let’s get straight to the results:

$BTC Over the past decade, BTC had 7 up and 3 down in July, with a win rate of 70%, an average return of +8.43%, and a median return of +10.10%.

The strongest was July 2020 at +23.78%, and the weakest was July 2016 at -10.62%.

Based on historical data, July is a relatively "favorable" month for $BTC .

This bear market has been running for 267 days from the peak, and the current price is $58,961.87, with a drawdown of -52.74% from the high.

Referencing the duration from peak to trough in the first three $BTC bear markets:

364-410 days, median 366 days, average 380 days.

If history repeats, this bear market will likely end between early October and late November 2026, and there may be one final drop before that.

Keep holding on—the dawn will eventually come, right?

👇For the specific gain/loss data, please refer to the chart.