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July 1 Strategy Plan Priority Ranking as Follows
Operation Priority Ranking
Priority 1: Short on Rebound to 1578–1582
This is the current top priority plan.
Entry Conditions
Price rebounds to:
Aggressive short: 1577.8–1580.5
Conservative short: 1581.5–1584.5
And any of the following signals occur:
5-minute spike and drop;
Unable to hold above 1582;
High-volume upper shadow;
Breaks out then quickly falls back below 1578.
Short Plan
Entry zone: 1578–1583
Stop loss: 1587.5
First take profit: 1571
Second take profit: 1565
Third take profit: 1555–1550
Extreme downside target: 1543 / 1515
Risk-Reward Ratio
If shorting around 1580, stop loss is about 7.5 points, first target 1571, second target 1565, the risk-reward ratio is decent.
Suitable for the current structure of "rebound failing at resistance."
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Priority 2: Chase Short on Break Below 1569–1565
This is the breakdown short plan.
Entry Conditions
Price effectively breaks below:
First trigger: 1569
Strong confirmation: 1565
And fails to hold above on a 5-minute or 15-minute close.
Short Plan
Entry zone: 1568–1565 breakdown and retrace
Stop loss: 1573.5
First take profit: 1561
Second take profit: 1555
Third take profit: 1550
Below 1550, target: 1543 / 1532 / 1515
Note
Do not directly chase at the very bottom of a big bearish candle below 1565; wait for a retracement confirmation.
If it breaks down then quickly recovers above 1569, it is a fake breakdown and you should immediately exit.
---
Priority 3: Light Long on Support at 1565–1561 (Short-term)
This is a counter-trend rebound trade, only suitable for quick in and out.
Entry Conditions
Price retraces to:
First support: 1565–1561
With signs of stabilization, such as lower shadow, consecutive small bullish candles, or high-volume rebound.
Long Plan
Entry zone: 1565–1561
Stop loss: 1557.5
First take profit: 1571
Second take profit: 1578
Third take profit: 1582
Note
This is a counter-trend short-term long, not a bottom-fishing.
If it fails to go up at 1578–1582, reduce or close the long position, or even reverse to short.
---
Priority 4: Long on Retracement After Holding Above 1583
This is the trend reversal confirmation plan.
Entry Conditions
Price breaks and holds above:
Above 1583
Preferably a 15-minute close holding, then retracement does not break below 1578–1580
Long Plan
Entry zone: 1579–1583 retracement confirmation
Stop loss: 1574
First take profit: 1593
Second take profit: 1600
Third take profit: 1606–1613
Note
Only after holding above 1583 does the bullish side regain short-term control.
Otherwise, 1578–1582 remains a bearish defense zone.
$ETH