The promised Doha talks today—but Iran immediately denied it. “Talk” or “no talk”? It all comes down to whoever has the last word?

Just as BTC barely touched 60,000, tonight when the US stock market opened, it pulled back to 58,965. In this market, whoever believes the news loses first.

🛑 Three things are intertwined, and the order book is honest:

1. The US and Iran are playing “cry wolf” again. Trump announced the “Doha talks today” loudly, and Iran’s Ministry of Foreign Affairs slapped back: in the coming days, there are no plans to negotiate with the US. Each side sticks to its own story. Israel’s Defense Minister added that the IDF is prepared to take independent military action against Iran. Will this geopolitical risk premium narrow? Too early.

2. The UK got a head start. The US CLARITY Act is still queued up at No. 423 on the Senate schedule, and Galaxy Research has lowered the probability to 50% based on its odds. But the UK FCA directly rolled out the final crypto regulatory framework, effective in October 2027. In the US-UK regulatory race, the UK crossed the finish line first.

3. Countdown to the July 2 nonfarm payrolls data. The market expects 113,000 new jobs added in June, and an unemployment rate of 4.3%. If it comes in above expectations, expectations for additional Fed rate hikes will be further reinforced.

📊 Technicals:

$BTC ‌Currently at 58,965, 1-hour RSI 41.96—short-term has entered oversold territory, with a demand for a technical rebound. But the daily MACD death cross is widening, and the bigger trend has not reversed yet.

$ETH ‌Currently at 1,570.82, 1-hour RSI 41.08—also oversold. Around 1,550 is a key support level; once it’s lost, downside room opens up.

💡 Let’s be real: holding above 58,000 by the end of the month is a win. Entering July, with the triple test of nonfarm payrolls data, the CLARITY Act, and the true/false Iran–US developments, the 60,000 level won’t be that easy to hold.

Do you think BTC can return to 60,000 in July? Chat in the comments 👇

#Strategy拟回购股票涨超12%