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#广场预测世界杯赢40000U World Cup’s biggest dark horse—can Cape Verde pull off a draw against the defending champions, Argentina?
At 6:00 AM on July 4th, the World Cup’s biggest dark horse, Cape Verde, will take on the defending champion Argentina. Personally, I think this is a match with plenty to look forward to.
Cape Verde’s population is only about 500,000. It’s the first time in history they’ve participated in the World Cup.
From their first group-stage match, where they shocked everyone with a 0-0 draw against Spain, to equalizing against Uruguay, and then holding Saudi Arabia to a draw.
Keeping level in three matches to qualify has already made them one of the most watched teams.
Cape Verde’s goalkeeper has also gained millions of followers online thanks to multiple “god-level” saves.
Can Cape Verde reproduce the miracle in their next match against Argentina?
Personally, I think it’s very difficult—most likely, Cape Verde will go straight home.
These three draws from Cape Verde involve some luck, but more than that, it comes down to the players’ resilience and an extraordinary level of performance.
Teams like Cape Verde, when facing traditional powerhouses, usually “park the bus.” In the match against Spain, it was precisely their bus-parking tactics and the goalkeeper’s outstanding performances that allowed them to draw with Spain.
And Argentina is the team least afraid of parking the bus.
Messi is Argentina’s special weapon against teams that park the bus. Although Messi is already 39 years old, besides a decline in stamina, his vision, technique, and experience are still world-class. (Three group-stage matches, six goals.)
In the 2022 World Cup group stage, facing Mexico’s tight defense—an unbreakable wall—it was all down to Messi’s individual ability, as he forcefully pried open that iron-fortress formation.
Argentina in 2026 is different from 2022—they play with more freedom and ease, more like they’re enjoying football as a sport.
After Argentina lost to Saudi Arabia in their first match at the 2022 World Cup, every subsequent game was do-or-die: lose and go home.
But in 2026, it’s different. Since they already won the World Cup last time, Argentina is playing with more looseness—tension and release balanced.
They won three consecutive group matches, topped the group, and advanced without much trouble.
In my view, if Cape Verde wants to force a draw against Argentina, they must meet the following three conditions.
1. Messi doesn’t play due to injury or poor form.
2. The other Argentine stars, including Enzo, Lautaro, Alvarez, and González, are in a slump and performing abnormally.
3. Cape Verde’s goalkeeper has another extraordinary performance, blocking every one of Argentina’s shots.
Even if all three conditions above are met, and the match goes to a penalty shootout, don’t forget Argentina’s “madman” goalkeeper, Dibu Martínez.
Martínez can even save penalties from the French team in the World Cup final.
With that in mind, Cape Verde’s World Cup journey will most likely end here.
But being able to enter the World Cup for the first time, advance from the group stage, make the world come to know Cape Verde, and play a match against the champion team Argentina—how could that not count as another kind of success?!!!
At 6 AM on July 4th, Cape Verde, the biggest dark horse of the World Cup, will face defending champion Argentina. Personally, I think this is a match worth watching.
Cape Verde has a population of only about 500,000 and is participating in the World Cup for the first time in history.
From the first group stage match, they stunned Spain with a 0-0 draw, then drew with Uruguay, and then drew with Saudi Arabia.
Drawing three consecutive matches to advance, they have become one of the most talked-about teams.
Cape Verde's goalkeeper has gained millions of followers online thanks to multiple incredible saves.
Can Cape Verde pull off another miracle against Argentina in the next match?
Personally, I think it's very difficult; most likely Cape Verde will go home directly.
Those three draws for Cape Verde involved a bit of luck, but more importantly, the players' resilience and exceptional performance.
When facing traditional powerhouses, teams like Cape Verde usually park the bus. In the match against Spain, they relied on a bus-parking tactic and the goalkeeper's outstanding performance to force a draw.
Argentina is the team least afraid of bus-parking tactics.
Messi is Argentina's secret weapon against bus-parking teams. Although Messi is 39 years old, aside from declining stamina, his vision, technique, and experience are still world-class (six goals in three group stage matches).
In the 2022 World Cup group stage, facing Mexico's airtight defense, it was Messi's individual ability that pried open the iron defense.
The 2026 Argentina team is different from 2022. They play more relaxed, as if they are enjoying the sport of football.
In the 2022 World Cup, after losing the first match to Saudi Arabia, every subsequent match was a do-or-die situation; lose and go home.
In 2026, however, it's different. Having already won the World Cup last time, Argentina plays more relaxed, with proper pacing.
Winning three group stage matches in a row to advance, and doing so effortlessly.
In my opinion, for Cape Verde to force a draw against Argentina, the following three conditions must be met:
1. Messi does not play due to injury or poor form.
2. Other Argentine stars including Enzo, Lautaro, Alvarez, and Gonzalez are in poor form and underperform.
3. Cape Verde's goalkeeper once again performs exceptionally, blocking all of Argentina's shots.
Even if all three conditions above are met, and it goes to a penalty shootout, don't forget Argentina's goalkeeper Dibu Martinez.
Dibu Martinez even managed to save France's penalty kicks in the World Cup final.
Looking at it this way, Cape Verde's World Cup journey will most likely end here.
However, being able to qualify from the group stage in their first World Cup, introducing Cape Verde to the world, and playing a match against champion Argentina—how is that not another kind of success!!!