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Morgan Stanley: Higher U.S. Real Interest Rates Reflect Economic Growth and the Fed’s Policy Debate

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Jinse Finance reported that on June 30, Morgan Stanley Wealth Management stated in a report that the rise in real interest rates appears to reflect economic growth drivers and the Federal Reserve's debate surrounding policy changes. The institution said: "While commentary has focused on inflation risks and the Fed's priorities regarding its 2% target, there has been less discussion about estimates of how monetary policy might respond in the context of potentially higher neutral or real interest rates." Morgan Stanley Wealth Management stated that this has implications for the concept of "higher for longer," potentially meaning lower pricing expectations for a Fed intervention market put option, and that the central bank will be more data-driven rather than guidance-driven. The institution said that bond investors seem to be simultaneously reflecting expectations of lower inflation risk from oil and a higher probability of rate hikes.
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