After losing $113k, I finally understood the real signal behind this round of ORDI's rebound.

Let's start with the data. It surged from 3.207 to 4.364 in 24 hours, up 20.86%, with a trading volume of $139 million. People who had previously seen the price drop nearly twice would think "rebound and dump" at the sight of this big green candle — I thought the same way before, then held on until it hit 3.0 before cutting losses. But this time is different: the volume is not fake; it increased by over 30%, with clear net capital inflows. On-chain data shows that there were whales passively absorbing orders around 3.2, rather than actively pumping to lure buyers.

Why do I dare to re-enter this time? Three hard data points: First, on the 4-hour chart, the MACD formed a golden cross below the zero line — this is a true golden cross after a bottom divergence, not a false breakout; Second, the RSI bounced back from the oversold zone to 48, not yet overheated; Third, the 24-hour low of 3.207 happens to be the strong support level since February, tested four times without breaking, and this rebound with volume is the fourth confirmation.

The operation plan is clear:
- Entry: Build a 2-position at the current price around 3.939. If it retraces to 3.5–3.6 without breaking, add another 1 position. - Stop loss: Strictly set below 3.2; if it breaks, exit and no longer hold on. - Take profit: First target 4.6, second target 5.2. After the first target, reduce half the position to lower the cost basis. - Position size: No more than 30% total position. I've learned the hard way from being fully invested — don't follow me.

This is not a shill; it's experience paid for with tuition. Guess how much I lost in total? I left a number in the comments. Figure out how long it will take me to break even.