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Tulips vs Atlas Lions: a showdown between last edition’s third-place finishers
Tomorrow at 9 a.m., in Monterrey, Mexico, the Netherlands will face Morocco. This is a heavyweight matchup between a “European powerhouse” and an “African powerhouse.”
The Netherlands finished the group stage with two wins and one draw, scoring 6 goals and conceding 2. In the first match, they drew 2-2 with Japan; in the second, they beat Sweden 2-0; in the final group match, they beat Tunisia 2-0, advancing as the top team in Group F. Gakpo and De Jong are the core of the Netherlands on both attack and defense.
Morocco also finished the group stage with two wins and one draw, scoring 4 goals and conceding 1. In their opener, they drew 1-1 with Brazil; in the second match, they beat Scotland 2-0; in the final match, they beat Haiti 1-0, advancing as the runner-up from Group C. Morocco is one of the best defensive teams in this World Cup, conceding only 1 goal across three matches.
Based on Polymarket data, the Netherlands’ win probability is about 55%, Morocco’s about 24%, and the draw about 21%. This is the match with the smallest win-probability gap among tomorrow’s three games, and also the most suspenseful.
The Netherlands’ possession game vs Morocco’s counterattacks, Gakpo vs Ashraf, De Jong vs Ziyech. Every matchup is packed with highlights.
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